@ FLA (Nov 24, 2003)vs FLA (Nov 28, 2003) ›

November 26, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

WSH 25 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH1012
BUF1405
Shots on goal WSH 20, BUF 26W M. NoronenL R. Stana
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .900
WSH R. Stana .808
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
WSH 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
A. Kotalik goal (P2 7:11), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 76%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (2G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
C. Drury
19:02
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:32
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.900 (18/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 07:11A. Kotalik (7) 53% to 76%+23
  2. P1 19:35D. Kalinin (3) 30% to 53%+23
  3. P1 01:37R. Lang (13) 53% to 34%-19
  4. P2 13:20M. Satan (6) 78% to 93%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
1
2
+1
2
2
1.5
17:30
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.6
19:02
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.5
17:35
#81 M. Satan (RW)
2
0
2
0
0
2
1.7
17:42
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
19:38
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
16:58
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
17:12
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
9:45
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
16:36
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
21:22
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:54
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
12:58
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
7
1
0.1
4:54
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
4
0.4
17:52
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
15:03
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:37
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:50
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
24:32
Total
5
10
15
13
26
12.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen202.9000.360:00W

Team Stats

WSHBUF
20Shots on Goal26
3Power Play Chances6
0%PP%17%
83%PK%100%
0PPG1
19Penalty Minutes13
12Hits15
9Blocked Shots7
9Giveaways12
1Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
01:37GOAL (WSH): Robert Lang (13), assists: Jaromir Jagr, Kip Miller
19:35GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (3), assists: Daniel Brière, J-P Dumont
2ND
07:11GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (7), assists: Taylor Pyatt, Chris Drury
13:20GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (6), assists: Curtis Brown, Rory Fitzpatrick
16:01GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (7), assists: Chris Drury, Dmitri Kalinin
17:12GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (8), assists: Daniel Brière, James Patrick
3RD
07:53GOAL (WSH): Ivan Ciernik (1), assists: Dainius Zubrus
@ FLA (Nov 24, 2003)vs FLA (Nov 28, 2003) ›