vs WSH (Nov 26, 2003)@ NSH (Nov 29, 2003) ›

November 28, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

FLA 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA2103
BUF0134
Shots on goal FLA 19, BUF 34W M. BironL S. Shields
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .714
Buffalo M. Biron .917
FLA S. Shields .882
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
FLA 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Pyatt goal (P3 14:28), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 92%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
2 (2G)
POINTS
C. Brown
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:18
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:23
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.917 (11/12)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:28T. Pyatt (7) 52% to 92%+40
  2. P3 13:22D. Brière (7) 16% to 52%+36
  3. P1 01:00S. Weiss (6) 55% to 36%-19
  4. P1 06:39J. Kolnik (1) 35% to 19%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
2
0
2
-1
4
5
1.7
17:47
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.3
14:07
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
17:19
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
6
0
0.7
14:43
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
14:04
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.3
18:46
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
27:23
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
12:53
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
8:09
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
11:13
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:10
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
19:12
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
20:18
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
19:16
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:56
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
23:32
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
13:18
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
19:57
Total
4
5
9
12
34
9.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron121.9170.453:18W
#35 M. Noronen72.714-1.06:39

Team Stats

FLABUF
19Shots on Goal34
4Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes12
7Hits18
11Blocked Shots11
9Giveaways12
4Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
01:00GOAL (FLA): Stephen Weiss (6), assists: Mathieu Biron, Andreas Lilja
06:39GOAL (FLA): Juraj Kolnik (1), assists: Vaclav Nedorost, Niklas Hagman
2ND
13:48GOAL (FLA): Stephen Weiss (7), assists: Valeri Bure, Pavel Trnka
17:09GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (3), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
07:06GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (6), assists: J-P Dumont
13:22GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (7), assists: Alexei Zhitnik
14:28GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (7), assists: Chris Drury, Maxim Afinogenov
vs WSH (Nov 26, 2003)@ NSH (Nov 29, 2003) ›