@ NSH (Nov 29, 2003)vs PHX (Dec 4, 2003) ›

December 3, 2003

United Center | Chicago

BUF 32 CHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0123
CHI0112
Shots on goal BUF 28, CHI 24W M. NoronenL M. Leighton
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .917
CHI M. Leighton .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
CHI 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Kalinin goal (P3 1:29), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 81%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Drury
19:28
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:00
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.917 (22/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFCHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 01:29D. Kalinin (4) 51% to 81%+30
  2. P2 12:59B. Berard (3) 77% to 51%-26
  3. P2 10:53D. Brière (8) 51% to 76%+25
  4. P3 12:13M. Afinogenov (5) 89% to 99%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
17:44
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.4
21:58
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.0
14:05
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
17:40
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
15:59
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
1.1
13:10
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
7:45
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
8:17
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
19:28
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
5:57
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
18:25
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+2
0
3
0.2
18:56
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:54
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.3
21:07
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:45
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
14:31
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.6
25:00
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
14:23
Total
3
5
8
8
28
7.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen242.9170.760:00W

Team Stats

BUFCHI
28Shots on Goal24
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes6
12Hits18
10Blocked Shots9
2Giveaways5
1Takeaways4

Full Game Log

2ND
10:53GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (8), assists: J-P Dumont
12:59GOAL (CHI): Bryan Berard (3), assists: Mikhail Yakubov, Steve Sullivan
3RD
01:29GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (4), assists: Ales Kotalik, Taylor Pyatt
12:13GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (5), assists: Daniel Brière, Dmitri Kalinin
18:01GOAL (CHI): Brett McLean (6), assists: Scott Nichol, Nathan Dempsey
@ NSH (Nov 29, 2003)vs PHX (Dec 4, 2003) ›