vs FLA (Nov 28, 2003)@ CHI (Dec 3, 2003) ›

November 29, 2003

Gaylord Entertainment Center | Nashville

BUF 14 NSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
NSH1124
Shots on goal BUF 23, NSH 32W T. VokounL M. Biron
Summary

NSH had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .875
NSH T. Vokoun .957
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
NSH 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (P2 2:36), Sabres win chance rises from 24% to 46%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:05
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:27
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.875 (28/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 7 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFNSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 02:36M. Afinogenov (4) 24% to 46%+22
  2. P2 07:52D. Arkhipov (3) 43% to 23%-20
  3. P1 01:48V. Orszagh (6) 46% to 27%-19
  4. P3 01:39V. Orszagh (7) 18% to 4%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.7
11:01
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
-1
4
1
0.5
17:51
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
10:10
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:36
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
17:36
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
13:56
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
11:54
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:16
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:45
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
19:46
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
3:57
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
21:05
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:06
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
17:23
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
20:29
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
14:51
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.1
27:27
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
19:21
Total
1
1
2
23
23
2.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron324.875-0.260:00L

Team Stats

BUFNSH
23Shots on Goal32
6Power Play Chances6
0%PP%17%
83%PK%100%
0PPG1
23Penalty Minutes23
7Hits11
7Blocked Shots11
16Giveaways13
6Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
01:48GOAL (NSH): Vladimir Orszagh (6), assists: Dan Hamhuis
2ND
02:36GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (4), assists: Adam Mair
07:52GOAL (NSH): Denis Arkhipov (3), assists: Vladimir Orszagh, Martin Erat
3RD
01:39GOAL (NSH): Vladimir Orszagh (7), assists: Martin Erat, Dan Hamhuis
10:28GOAL (NSH): Vladimir Orszagh (8), unassisted
vs FLA (Nov 28, 2003)@ CHI (Dec 3, 2003) ›