vs PHX (Dec 4, 2003)vs DET (Dec 10, 2003) ›

December 6, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 31 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL1113
BUF1001
Shots on goal TBL 29, BUF 38W N. KhabibulinL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .897
TBL N. Khabibulin .974
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
TBL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Andreychuk goal (P2 10:30), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 23%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Dumont
7
SHOTS
D. Brière
22:15
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
22:55
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.897 (26/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 19 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 10:30D. Andreychuk (3) 48% to 23%-25
  2. P1 19:53D. Afanasenkov (2) 70% to 48%-22
  3. P1 08:22J. Dumont (10) 48% to 68%+20
  4. P3 06:23F. Modin (7) 15% to 3%-12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
7
1.3
19:37
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
21:13
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+1
7
2
1.0
19:59
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.5
13:14
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
7:23
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
12:14
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:57
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:20
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
5:57
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
14:28
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
4
1
0.1
22:15
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:13
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.3
14:21
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:16
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
22:06
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:31
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-3
2
2
0.1
22:55
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
14:36
Total
1
2
3
19
38
5.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron293.8970.459:15L

Team Stats

TBLBUF
29Shots on Goal38
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
31Penalty Minutes19
22Hits15
14Blocked Shots8
17Giveaways9
3Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
08:22GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (10), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Jochen Hecht
19:53GOAL (TBL): Dimitri Afanasenkov (2), assists: Chris Dingman, Tim Taylor
2ND
10:30GOAL (TBL): Dave Andreychuk (3), assists: Shane Willis, Martin St. Louis
3RD
06:23GOAL (TBL): Freddy Modin (7), assists: Shane Willis, Vincent Lecavalier
vs PHX (Dec 4, 2003)vs DET (Dec 10, 2003) ›