vs TBL (Dec 6, 2003)vs NYR (Dec 12, 2003) ›

December 10, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

DET 72 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
DET2057
BUF1012
Shots on goal DET 23, BUF 25W C. JosephL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-7.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .696
DET C. Joseph .920
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
DET 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
P. Datsyuk goal (P1 14:02), Sabres win chance drops from 66% to 44%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
18:19
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:12
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.696 (16/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDET

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 7 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFDET

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 14:02P. Datsyuk (13) 66% to 44%-22
  2. P1 16:34K. Maltby (4) 45% to 24%-21
  3. P1 04:43D. Brière (10) 44% to 64%+20
  4. P3 08:01P. Datsyuk (14) 13% to 2%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
4
1.6
16:18
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
16:30
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
0
2
2
1.2
17:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
18:04
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
20:25
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
14:16
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:31
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
13:21
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
-0.2
17:15
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:45
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
5:29
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
15:53
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
0.0
14:28
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
3
0.3
18:19
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
17:39
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.2
19:29
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.1
24:12
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.3
18:37
Total
2
4
6
12
25
6.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller237.696-3.659:30L

Team Stats

DETBUF
23Shots on Goal25
4Power Play Chances4
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes12
8Hits12
10Blocked Shots13
7Giveaways9
5Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
04:43GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (10), assists: J-P Dumont, Jochen Hecht
14:02GOAL (DET): Pavel Datsyuk (13), assists: Kris Draper, Mathieu Dandenault
16:34GOAL (DET): Kirk Maltby (4), assists: Pavel Datsyuk, Mathieu Dandenault
3RD
08:01GOAL (DET): Pavel Datsyuk (14), assists: Jason Woolley, Kris Draper
09:44GOAL (DET): Kris Draper (11), assists: Brendan Shanahan, Mark Mowers
14:03GOAL (DET): Jiri Hudler (1), assists: Jason Woolley, Brett Hull
14:37GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (2), assists: Brian Campbell, Henrik Tallinder
16:22GOAL (DET): Mathieu Schneider (3), assists: Jason Williams, Boyd Devereaux
18:23GOAL (DET): Boyd Devereaux (4), assists: Mathieu Schneider, Kevin Miller
vs TBL (Dec 6, 2003)vs NYR (Dec 12, 2003) ›