vs NYR (Dec 12, 2003)@ PIT (Dec 16, 2003) ›

December 13, 2003

Xcel Energy Center | St. Paul

BUF 23 MIN

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
MIN1023
Shots on goal BUF 17, MIN 24W M. FernandezL M. Noronen
Summary

MIN had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .875
MIN M. Fernandez .882
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
MIN 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Dowd goal (P3 19:36), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 1%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
3
SHOTS
C. Brown
20:17
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:12
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.875 (21/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMIN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 40 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFMIN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:36J. Dowd (2) 48% to 1%-47
  2. P3 15:00A. Laaksonen (6) 91% to 48%-43
  3. P3 01:05C. Drury (5) 46% to 77%+31
  4. P1 14:40J. Wiemer (3) 66% to 44%-22

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
3
1.8
19:50
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.8
16:14
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
20:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
5:23
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.8
21:09
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
17:08
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
16:30
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
4:59
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:04
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:25
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:23
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:30
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.1
1:32
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
18:45
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
17:26
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
0.0
21:22
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.5
24:12
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:28
Total
2
4
6
15
17
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen243.875-0.160:00L

Team Stats

BUFMIN
17Shots on Goal24
3Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
15Penalty Minutes11
5Hits3
16Blocked Shots7
14Giveaways15
5Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
08:49GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (8), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Maxim Afinogenov
14:40GOAL (MIN): Jason Wiemer (3), assists: Pierre-Marc Bouchard, Richard Park
3RD
01:05GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (5), assists: Miroslav Satan, Curtis Brown
15:00GOAL (MIN): Antti Laaksonen (6), assists: Wes Walz, Alex Henry
19:36GOAL (MIN): Jim Dowd (2), assists: Sergei Zholtok, Andrew Brunette
vs NYR (Dec 12, 2003)@ PIT (Dec 16, 2003) ›