vs DET (Dec 10, 2003)@ MIN (Dec 13, 2003) ›

December 12, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 31 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR1113
BUF1001
Shots on goal NYR 34, BUF 20W J. MarkkanenL M. Noronen
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .912
NYR J. Markkanen .950
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
NYR 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
A. Carter goal (P2 19:50), Sabres win chance drops from 46% to 20%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Brown
1 (1G)
POINTS
C. Brown
7
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:24
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:30
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.912 (31/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 27 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+19+100-10-19shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 19:50A. Carter (8) 46% to 20%-26
  2. P1 17:48C. Brown (4) 28% to 49%+21
  3. P1 05:12A. Kovalev (5) 48% to 29%-19
  4. P3 08:05P. Nedved (6) 14% to 3%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.6
18:34
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
0
0
7
1.5
21:09
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
20:00
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
13:22
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.3
17:51
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
8
0
-0.4
7:27
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
15:39
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:35
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
19:28
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
17:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:01
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
4:06
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
22:24
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
16:45
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
21:30
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
18:47
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
23:30
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:29
Total
1
2
3
12
20
3.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen343.9120.958:11L

Team Stats

NYRBUF
34Shots on Goal20
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%20%
80%PK%75%
1PPG1
28Penalty Minutes12
14Hits12
4Blocked Shots10
13Giveaways11
0Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
05:12GOAL (NYR): Alex Kovalev (5), assists: Eric Lindros, Martin Rucinsky
17:48GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (4), assists: Brian Campbell, Chris Drury
2ND
19:50GOAL (NYR): Anson Carter (8), assists: Bobby Holik, Tom Poti
3RD
08:05GOAL (NYR): Petr Nedved (6), assists: Anson Carter, Jan Hlavac
vs DET (Dec 10, 2003)@ MIN (Dec 13, 2003) ›