vs CAR (Dec 26, 2003)@ CAR (Dec 29, 2003) ›

December 27, 2003

MCI Center | Washington

BUF 31 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1023
WSH1001
Shots on goal BUF 40, WSH 22W M. NoronenL O. Kolzig
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .955
WSH O. Kolzig .949
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 0
WSH 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
D. Brière goal (P3 4:19), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 81%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
19:10
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:30
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.955 (21/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 04:19D. Brière (11) 47% to 81%+34
  2. P1 16:47M. Satan (10) 25% to 46%+21
  3. P1 07:55P. Bondra (15) 46% to 27%-19
  4. P3 14:40Tripping on Ales Kotalik, 2 min 91% to 85%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
2
3
+3
0
5
2.6
19:10
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.5
16:42
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
8:37
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
6
1.2
17:36
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.4
18:14
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
17:55
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
7:55
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
16:21
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
6:03
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:22
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
18:07
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:44
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.1
21:10
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.2
13:17
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
5
0.4
26:30
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
24:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:01
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
23:18
Total
3
4
7
4
40
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen221.9551.459:47W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
40Shots on Goal22
0Power Play Chances1
PP%0%
100%PK%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes2
16Hits20
17Blocked Shots13
11Giveaways20
3Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
07:55GOAL (WSH): Peter Bondra (15), assists: Mike Grier, Jason Doig
16:47GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (10), unassisted
3RD
04:19GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (11), assists: Miroslav Satan, Adam Mair
19:20GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (3), assists: Miroslav Satan, Daniel Brière
vs CAR (Dec 26, 2003)@ CAR (Dec 29, 2003) ›