@ CAR (Dec 29, 2003)vs ANA (Jan 2, 2004) ›

December 31, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

WSH 17 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH0101
BUF1517
Shots on goal WSH 26, BUF 42W M. BironL M. Ouellet
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .962
WSH M. Ouellet .833
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 8
WSH 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (P1 18:43), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 74%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
3 (3G)
POINTS
M. Satan
8
SHOTS
J. Hecht
21:20
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
25:46
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.962 (25/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 19 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:43M. Afinogenov (6) 53% to 74%+21
  2. P2 06:54M. Afinogenov (7) 76% to 91%+15
  3. P2 07:45A. Peters (1) 91% to 97%+6
  4. P2 11:02J. Halpern (6) 98% to 92%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
3
0
3
+3
0
7
2.8
14:02
#81 M. Satan (RW)
3
0
3
0
4
8
2.7
17:10
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
+3
0
2
1.9
13:54
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
5
1.8
21:20
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
2
2
0
0
3
1.8
25:46
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
10:02
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
5
1
0.6
9:06
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.5
16:32
#76 A. Peters (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
7:21
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
14:10
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
1
0.7
19:41
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:10
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
13:03
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
14:38
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
17:53
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
25:04
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
14:53
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+3
2
0
0.0
18:50
Total
7
11
18
21
42
15.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron261.9621.859:48W

Team Stats

WSHBUF
26Shots on Goal42
5Power Play Chances8
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG2
37Penalty Minutes21
11Hits13
11Blocked Shots9
18Giveaways9
3Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
18:43GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (6), assists: Derek Roy
2ND
06:54GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (7), unassisted
07:45GOAL (BUF): Andrew Peters (1), assists: Chris Taylor, Adam Mair
11:02GOAL (WSH): Jeff Halpern (6), assists: Sergei Gonchar, Kip Miller
15:32GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (11), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Jochen Hecht
15:54GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (12), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Chris Drury
18:25GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (8), assists: Derek Roy, Henrik Tallinder
3RD
05:15GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (13), assists: Jochen Hecht, Rory Fitzpatrick
@ CAR (Dec 29, 2003)vs ANA (Jan 2, 2004) ›