vs WSH (Dec 31, 2003)@ TOR (Jan 3, 2004) ›

January 2, 2004

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ANA 25 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ANA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA1102
BUF1315
Shots on goal ANA 26, BUF 33W M. BironL M. Gerber
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .923
ANA M. Gerber .848
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
ANA 1 of 1
TURNING POINT
C. Brown goal (P2 0:16), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 75%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Drury
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
18:52
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:25
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.923 (24/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFANA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFANA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFANA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 00:16C. Brown (6) 53% to 75%+22
  2. P1 09:42C. Drury (6) 52% to 72%+20
  3. P1 10:03K. Carney (1) 73% to 54%-19
  4. P2 02:17D. Kalinin (5) 76% to 90%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+3
0
4
1.8
15:26
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
4
1.9
16:02
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.7
16:50
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
3
1.5
18:34
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
1
2
+4
0
1
1.7
21:30
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.7
15:31
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
18:52
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:45
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:11
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
10:46
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
15:50
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.3
14:52
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:53
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:04
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
20:38
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+4
0
0
0.1
25:25
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:51
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
21:32
Total
5
7
12
2
33
11.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron262.9230.960:00W

Team Stats

ANABUF
26Shots on Goal33
1Power Play Chances3
100%PP%0%
100%PK%0%
1PPG0
10Penalty Minutes4
13Hits15
12Blocked Shots9
7Giveaways7
2Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
09:42GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (6), unassisted
10:03GOAL (ANA): Keith Carney (1), assists: Stanislav Chistov, Steve Rucchin
2ND
00:16GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (6), assists: Chris Drury, Ales Kotalik
02:17GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (5), assists: Curtis Brown
17:46GOAL (ANA): Andy McDonald (8), unassisted
18:21GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (14), assists: Daniel Brière, Jochen Hecht
3RD
14:15GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (12), assists: Jochen Hecht, Dmitri Kalinin
vs WSH (Dec 31, 2003)@ TOR (Jan 3, 2004) ›