vs ANA (Jan 2, 2004)@ MTL (Jan 6, 2004) ›

January 3, 2004

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 33 TOR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0303
TOR1023
Shots on goal BUF 16, TOR 37
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 3-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .919
TOR E. Belfour .813
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
TOR 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Stajan goal (P3 16:58), Sabres win chance drops from 94% to 47%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
3
SHOTS
J. Hecht
19:33
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
31:07
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.919 (34/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 15 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 3:27
+22+110-11-22shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 40%.

OT 3:27
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:58M. Stajan (6) 94% to 47%-47
  2. P2 06:58C. Drury (7) 42% to 68%+26
  3. P2 05:01M. Satan (15) 20% to 42%+22
  4. P2 13:53R. Fitzpatrick (1) 73% to 89%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
18:20
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
19:27
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
19:33
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
3
1.0
18:11
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
18:40
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
15:25
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.9
31:07
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:59
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
19:00
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.1
10:37
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
10:53
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
17:50
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
17:20
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:58
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
3:59
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
16:55
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
26:32
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.6
21:21
Total
3
4
7
13
16
7.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron373.9191.265:00T

Team Stats

BUFTOR
16Shots on Goal37
4Power Play Chances4
25%PP%50%
50%PK%75%
1PPG2
13Penalty Minutes13
36Hits27
24Blocked Shots13
13Giveaways19
1Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
06:52GOAL (TOR): Gary Roberts (16), assists: Mats Sundin, Bryan McCabe
2ND
05:01GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (15), assists: Jochen Hecht, Henrik Tallinder
06:58GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (7), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Curtis Brown
13:53GOAL (BUF): Rory Fitzpatrick (1), unassisted
3RD
03:04GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (16), assists: Bryan McCabe, Ken Klee
16:58GOAL (TOR): Matt Stajan (6), assists: Ken Klee, Tomas Kaberle
vs ANA (Jan 2, 2004)@ MTL (Jan 6, 2004) ›