@ NYI (Jan 17, 2004)@ BOS (Jan 22, 2004) ›

January 20, 2004

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 14 ATL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
ATL0224
Shots on goal BUF 25, ATL 23W P. NurminenL M. Noronen
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .826
ATL P. Nurminen .960
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
ATL 1 of 8
TURNING POINT
P. Stefan goal (P2 18:00), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 19%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Dumont
4
SHOTS
J. Hecht
21:17
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:50
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.826 (19/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 27 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 18:00P. Stefan (7) 47% to 19%-28
  2. P2 13:31V. Kozlov (18) 72% to 47%-25
  3. P2 02:37J. Dumont (13) 47% to 70%+23
  4. P3 03:11J. Vigier (10) 17% to 4%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
16:15
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
0
2
3
1.1
16:32
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
12:15
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:49
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:41
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
8:14
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
15:33
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:52
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
17:39
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
21:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
11:20
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.1
4:24
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
18:40
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:25
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
19:21
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
26:50
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
26:47
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:02
Total
1
2
3
16
25
3.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen234.826-1.159:58L

Team Stats

BUFATL
25Shots on Goal23
3Power Play Chances8
0%PP%13%
88%PK%100%
0PPG1
18Penalty Minutes8
10Hits20
6Blocked Shots17
3Giveaways19
6Takeaways9

Full Game Log

2ND
02:37GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (13), assists: Daniel Brière, Rory Fitzpatrick
13:31GOAL (ATL): Vyacheslav Kozlov (18), assists: Randy Robitaille, Ilya Kovalchuk
18:00GOAL (ATL): Patrik Stefan (7), unassisted
3RD
03:11GOAL (ATL): Jean-Pierre Vigier (10), assists: Ilya Kovalchuk, Jean-Luc Grand-Pierre
16:32GOAL (ATL): Vyacheslav Kozlov (19), assists: Daniel Tjarnqvist, Daniel Corso
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