@ ATL (Jan 20, 2004)@ PHI (Jan 24, 2004) ›

January 22, 2004

FleetCenter | Boston

BUF 32 BOS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1023
BOS0022
Shots on goal BUF 29, BOS 25W M. BironL A. Raycroft
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .920
BOS A. Raycroft .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
BOS 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
M. Satan goal (P3 13:40), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 89%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (2G)
POINTS
M. Satan
8
SHOTS
C. Drury
20:25
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:34
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 17 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 42%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 13:40M. Satan (16) 47% to 89%+42
  2. P3 08:11G. Murray (14) 83% to 46%-37
  3. P1 11:35R. Fitzpatrick (3) 43% to 64%+21
  4. P2 12:55Fighting on Eric Boulton, 5 min 79% to 71%-8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
0
2
2
1.3
17:22
#81 M. Satan (RW)
2
0
2
0
0
8
2.1
18:50
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
19:48
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
20:25
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.0
19:44
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
16:26
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
23:48
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:10
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:29
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:28
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
5:44
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
3:53
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
11:07
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
15:11
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:28
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
12:44
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
25:34
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
18:03
Total
3
6
9
9
29
8.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron252.9200.860:00W

Team Stats

BUFBOS
29Shots on Goal25
5Power Play Chances3
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
11Penalty Minutes15
10Hits13
17Blocked Shots9
4Giveaways9
7Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
11:35GOAL (BUF): Rory Fitzpatrick (3), assists: J-P Dumont, Chris Drury
3RD
08:11GOAL (BOS): Glen Murray (14), assists: P.J. Axelsson, Hal Gill
13:40GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (16), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Daniel Brière
18:50GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (17), assists: Daniel Brière, Jochen Hecht
19:54GOAL (BOS): Mike Knuble (14), assists: Jiri Slegr, Brian Rolston
@ ATL (Jan 20, 2004)@ PHI (Jan 24, 2004) ›