@ BOS (Jan 22, 2004)@ CAR (Jan 25, 2004) ›

January 24, 2004

Wachovia Center | Philadelphia

BUF 12 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
PHI1102
Shots on goal BUF 26, PHI 22W R. EscheL M. Noronen
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .909
PHI R. Esche .962
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
PHI 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Roenick goal (P2 9:05), Sabres win chance drops from 42% to 19%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
6
SHOTS
J. Hecht
21:09
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:28
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.909 (20/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 11 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 39%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 09:05J. Roenick (18) 42% to 19%-23
  2. P2 01:03A. Kotalik (10) 20% to 41%+21
  3. P1 03:19J. Roenick (17) 39% to 22%-17
  4. P2 11:23Kneeing on Todd Fedoruk, 2 min 18% to 22%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
14:48
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
15:41
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
16:16
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
13:03
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:13
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:07
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:59
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
12:22
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
20:25
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
2
6
0.3
21:09
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
15:17
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
19:35
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
13:04
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
23:27
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:10
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.2
24:28
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
21:19
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
15:09
Total
1
2
3
6
26
4.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen222.9090.559:17L

Team Stats

BUFPHI
26Shots on Goal22
3Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes6
6Hits9
8Blocked Shots14
16Giveaways16
3Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
03:19GOAL (PHI): Jeremy Roenick (17), assists: Mike Comrie
2ND
01:03GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (10), assists: J-P Dumont, Chris Drury
09:05GOAL (PHI): Jeremy Roenick (18), assists: Mark Recchi, John LeClair
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