vs OTT (Mar 3, 2004)vs STL (Mar 7, 2004) ›

March 6, 2004

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 51 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3115
TOR0101
Shots on goal BUF 32, TOR 33W M. BironL E. Belfour
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .970
TOR E. Belfour .844
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
TOR 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P1 5:41), Sabres win chance rises from 40% to 60%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
D. Roy
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:12
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
25:25
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.970 (32/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 40%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 05:41D. Roy (4) 40% to 60%+20
  2. P1 12:39D. Roy (5) 62% to 80%+18
  3. P2 06:40D. Tucker (21) 93% to 83%-10
  4. P1 15:08D. Brière (22) 82% to 92%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
2
3
+2
0
4
2.4
21:12
#9 D. Roy (C)
2
0
2
+3
0
4
2.0
17:24
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.6
20:16
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
1
2
+3
0
1
1.5
12:40
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
1
1
+1
5
2
1.5
5:27
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
0
2
2
1.0
18:58
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
15:56
#15 M. Bartovic (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
11:19
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:21
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
7:08
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
10:48
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
17:14
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
17:38
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
20:15
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
1
0.2
15:30
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
19:48
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
21:48
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
25:25
Total
5
7
12
11
32
12.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron331.9702.560:00W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
32Shots on Goal33
5Power Play Chances4
20%PP%25%
75%PK%80%
1PPG1
13Penalty Minutes35
22Hits29
14Blocked Shots15
21Giveaways12
4Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
05:41GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (4), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Brian Campbell
12:39GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (5), assists: Eric Boulton
15:08GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (22), assists: Chris Drury, Miroslav Satan
2ND
06:40GOAL (TOR): Darcy Tucker (21), assists: Robert Reichel, Brian Leetch
10:16GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (2), assists: Miroslav Satan
3RD
08:41GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (26), assists: Chris Drury
vs OTT (Mar 3, 2004)vs STL (Mar 7, 2004) ›