@ WSH (Nov 27, 2005)@ MTL (Dec 1, 2005) ›

November 29, 2005

Mellon Arena | Pittsburgh

BUF 32 PIT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
PIT1012
Shots on goal BUF 27, PIT 32W M. BironL M. Fleury
Summary

PIT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .938
PIT M. Fleury .889
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
PIT 1 of 9
TURNING POINT
J. LeClair goal (P3 1:33), Sabres win chance drops from 78% to 52%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
19:14
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:53
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 29 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 01:33J. LeClair (6) 78% to 52%-26
  2. P3 05:43A. Kotalik (13) 57% to 83%+26
  3. P2 11:41P. Gaustad (4) 53% to 76%+23
  4. P1 11:56M. Afinogenov (4) 36% to 56%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
+1
2
4
1.8
18:16
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
19:14
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
-1
2
3
0.8
14:09
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
15:40
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
11:07
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
20:53
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+2
6
0
0.1
5:50
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
14:22
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
-0.1
18:23
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:42
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
17:38
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.5
15:21
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:04
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.6
18:24
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.1
21:53
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
11:59
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:04
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:11
Total
3
6
9
18
27
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron322.9381.559:41W

Team Stats

BUFPIT
27Shots on Goal32
7Power Play Chances9
14%PP%11%
89%PK%86%
1PPG1
18Penalty Minutes14
4Hits10
15Blocked Shots18
6Giveaways3
1Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
04:59GOAL (PIT): Matt Murley (1), assists: Mark Recchi, John LeClair
11:56GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (4), assists: Derek Roy, Dmitri Kalinin
2ND
11:41GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (4), assists: Chris Drury, Jay McKee
3RD
01:33GOAL (PIT): John LeClair (6), assists: Mark Recchi, Sergei Gonchar
05:43GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (13), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Teppo Numminen
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