vs MTL (Nov 25, 2005)@ PIT (Nov 29, 2005) ›

November 27, 2005

MCI Center | Washington

BUF 32 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
WSH0112
Shots on goal BUF 29, WSH 19W M. BironL O. Kolzig
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .895
WSH O. Kolzig .897
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
WSH 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P2 19:11), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 79%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (2A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
C. Drury
23:15
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
22:53
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.895 (17/19)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 19:11T. Vanek (4) 53% to 79%+26
  2. P2 05:16S. Eminger (3) 73% to 53%-20
  3. P1 03:56J. Pominville (1) 55% to 72%+17
  4. P3 16:23J. Hecht (5) 92% to 99%+7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
0
2
1
1.5
16:27
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
0
0
3
1.7
13:41
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
17:29
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.1
14:12
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
15:26
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
3
0.9
21:59
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.2
19:57
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
7:38
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
23:15
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:27
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
10:53
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
2:31
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.3
19:49
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
9:24
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
17:01
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
22:53
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
18:13
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.4
20:08
Total
3
5
8
14
29
8.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron192.8950.259:55W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
29Shots on Goal19
7Power Play Chances7
14%PP%14%
86%PK%86%
1PPG1
14Penalty Minutes14
16Hits15
18Blocked Shots12
8Giveaways29
6Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
03:56GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Derek Roy
2ND
05:16GOAL (WSH): Steve Eminger (3), assists: Bryan Muir, Alex Ovechkin
19:11GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (4), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Derek Roy
3RD
16:23GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (5), assists: Tim Connolly
18:01GOAL (WSH): Matt Pettinger (5), assists: Jeff Halpern, Brian Willsie
vs MTL (Nov 25, 2005)@ PIT (Nov 29, 2005) ›