vs SJS (Dec 2, 2005)vs ANA (Dec 8, 2005) ›

December 4, 2005

Pepsi Center | Denver

BUF 64 COL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs COL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF4026
COL1124
Shots on goal BUF 30, COL 29W M. BironL P. Budaj
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 6-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .862
COL D. Aebischer .750
COL P. Budaj .923
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
COL 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P3 17:33), Sabres win chance rises from 54% to 95%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
18:28
TOI (F)
J. McKee
25:47
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.862 (25/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCOL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 14 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFCOL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 42%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCOL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:33D. Roy (2) 54% to 95%+41
  2. P3 08:51M. Svatos (13) 81% to 46%-35
  3. P1 14:25J. Hecht (6) 41% to 60%+19
  4. P1 11:46K. Skrastins (2) 62% to 42%-20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
0
1.7
18:28
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.8
16:52
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.6
17:13
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
15:55
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
5
1.3
15:32
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.9
16:39
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
12:52
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
13:11
#47 C. Thorburn (RW)
0
1
1
0
5
0
0.7
5:17
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.6
19:59
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
15:57
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
25:47
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
5
0.3
17:03
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.1
9:13
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
11:27
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
0
0.0
25:22
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
16:17
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
15:14
Total
6
9
15
22
30
12.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron294.862-0.559:57W

Team Stats

BUFCOL
30Shots on Goal29
2Power Play Chances6
50%PP%17%
83%PK%50%
1PPG1
22Penalty Minutes14
17Hits17
19Blocked Shots11
2Giveaways3
20Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
02:45GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (5), assists: Chris Thorburn, Jay McKee
11:46GOAL (COL): Karlis Skrastins (2), assists: Joe Sakic, Milan Hejduk
14:25GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (6), assists: Tim Connolly, Henrik Tallinder
17:05GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (2), assists: Tim Connolly
18:46GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (3), assists: Jochen Hecht
2ND
18:00GOAL (COL): Rob Blake (6), assists: John-Michael Liles, Milan Hejduk
3RD
06:49GOAL (COL): Alex Tanguay (10), assists: Joe Sakic, Milan Hejduk
08:51GOAL (COL): Marek Svatos (13), unassisted
17:33GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (2), assists: Jason Pominville, Thomas Vanek
19:56GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (8), assists: Teppo Numminen
vs SJS (Dec 2, 2005)vs ANA (Dec 8, 2005) ›