@ COL (Dec 4, 2005)@ MIN (Dec 11, 2005) ›

December 8, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ANA 23 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs ANA all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
ANA10102
BUF00213
Shots on goal ANA 30, BUF 31W M. BironL J. Giguere
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .933
ANA J. Giguere .903
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
ANA 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (OT 2:11), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 100%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
20:27
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:50
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.933 (28/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFANA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 15 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 2:11
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFANA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

OT 2:11
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFANA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 02:11M. Afinogenov (5) 55% to 100%+45
  2. P3 16:33A. Kotalik (14) 7% to 51%+44
  3. P3 10:24J. Lupul (12) 51% to 15%-36
  4. P3 08:06T. Vanek (5) 18% to 52%+34

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.3
16:08
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
6
1.0
17:58
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.1
15:33
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
-1
2
5
1.0
15:34
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.7
18:39
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.9
20:48
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
18:49
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
17:10
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:04
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:11
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:39
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
10:31
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:27
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:41
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.2
24:50
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
18:54
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:23
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
20:44
Total
3
4
7
8
31
7.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron302.9331.361:52W

Team Stats

ANABUF
30Shots on Goal31
4Power Play Chances2
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG1
4Penalty Minutes8
21Hits10
7Blocked Shots16
15Giveaways8
1Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
07:06GOAL (ANA): Chris Kunitz (3), assists: Joffrey Lupul, Joe Dipenta
3RD
08:06GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (5), unassisted
10:24GOAL (ANA): Joffrey Lupul (12), assists: Scott Niedermayer
16:33GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (14), assists: Brian Campbell, Jason Pominville
OT
02:11GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (5), assists: Jason Pominville, Teppo Numminen
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