@ MIN (Dec 11, 2005)@ PIT (Dec 16, 2005) ›

December 14, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

DAL 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DAL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL0213
BUF1214
Shots on goal DAL 35, BUF 22W M. BironL M. Turco
Summary

DAL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .914
DAL M. Turco .818
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
DAL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (P1 2:58), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 68%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
19:13
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
22:28
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.914 (32/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDAL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFDAL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDAL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:58M. Afinogenov (6) 50% to 68%+18
  2. P2 08:10D. Roy (3) 73% to 89%+16
  3. P2 14:59S. Ott (2) 91% to 76%-15
  4. P3 01:42D. Brière (13) 79% to 94%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.6
14:40
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
2
2
0
0
3
1.8
14:45
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
19:13
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
13:59
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
12:40
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.2
17:36
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
16:04
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
1
0.7
13:58
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
18:56
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.4
17:36
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:35
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
17:28
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
0.1
13:33
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:44
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.3
22:09
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
14:42
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
22:28
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.1
18:03
Total
4
8
12
10
22
10.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron353.9141.059:50W

Team Stats

DALBUF
35Shots on Goal22
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes10
13Hits9
12Blocked Shots19
12Giveaways11
2Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
02:58GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (6), assists: Derek Roy, Brian Campbell
2ND
08:10GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (3), assists: Mike Grier, Jochen Hecht
12:30GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (7), assists: Ales Kotalik, Teppo Numminen
13:30GOAL (DAL): Jere Lehtinen (16), assists: Brenden Morrow
14:59GOAL (DAL): Steve Ott (2), assists: Stu Barnes, Stephane Robidas
3RD
01:42GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (13), assists: Ales Kotalik, Tim Connolly
12:59GOAL (DAL): Stephane Robidas (3), assists: Niklas Hagman, Mike Modano
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