vs ANA (Dec 8, 2005)vs DAL (Dec 14, 2005) ›

December 11, 2005

Xcel Energy Center | St. Paul

BUF 32 MIN

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
MIN1102
Shots on goal BUF 30, MIN 36W M. BironL D. Roloson
Summary

MIN had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .944
MIN D. Roloson .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
MIN 1 of 8
TURNING POINT
M. Grier goal (P3 16:28), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 93%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Brière
18:19
TOI (F)
J. McKee
20:50
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.944 (34/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMIN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFMIN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:28M. Grier (4) 48% to 93%+45
  2. P2 19:21C. Drury (9) 20% to 47%+27
  3. P2 11:47B. Rolston (12) 46% to 23%-23
  4. P1 11:17M. Koivu (4) 62% to 43%-19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
3
1.6
17:11
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.5
13:57
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
13:16
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
3
1.0
13:38
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
17:42
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
4
3
0.6
13:43
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
20:50
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
14:41
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:27
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
8:04
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
11:34
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.6
11:24
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
18:19
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
20:30
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
18:41
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
17:06
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.2
15:48
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
18:29
Total
3
6
9
18
30
8.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron362.9441.959:50W

Team Stats

BUFMIN
30Shots on Goal36
5Power Play Chances8
0%PP%13%
88%PK%100%
0PPG1
18Penalty Minutes12
10Hits11
19Blocked Shots8
8Giveaways9
7Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
08:03GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (6), assists: Derek Roy, Maxim Afinogenov
11:17GOAL (MIN): Mikko Koivu (4), assists: Randy Robitaille, Brian Rolston
2ND
11:47GOAL (MIN): Brian Rolston (12), assists: Marian Gaborik, Brent Burns
19:21GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (9), assists: Mike Grier, Jay McKee
3RD
16:28GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (4), assists: Chris Drury, Jochen Hecht
vs ANA (Dec 8, 2005)vs DAL (Dec 14, 2005) ›