vs FLA (Jan 1, 2006)vs NJD (Jan 7, 2006) ›

January 5, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL0101
BUF1113
Shots on goal TBL 22, BUF 31W R. MillerL S. Burke
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .955
TBL S. Burke .903
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
TBL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (P1 19:41), Sabres win chance rises from 57% to 75%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
6
SHOTS
D. Roy
18:48
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
20:41
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.955 (21/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 19:41J. Hecht (9) 57% to 75%+18
  2. P2 12:23M. St. Louis (15) 92% to 78%-14
  3. P3 02:15H. Tallinder (5) 82% to 95%+13
  4. P2 10:10C. Drury (15) 78% to 91%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
1
2
0
0
6
1.9
18:34
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.5
18:45
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.9
7:04
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
10:51
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
13:00
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
15:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
18:33
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
18:01
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
18:48
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:23
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
12:26
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:21
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.3
17:53
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
16:50
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
18:30
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
19:29
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
20:41
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
17:28
Total
3
6
9
8
31
9.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller221.9551.459:49W

Team Stats

TBLBUF
22Shots on Goal31
4Power Play Chances7
0%PP%29%
71%PK%100%
0PPG2
14Penalty Minutes8
4Hits3
21Blocked Shots10
10Giveaways5
0Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
19:41GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (9), assists: Brian Campbell, Tim Connolly
2ND
10:10GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (15), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jason Pominville
12:23GOAL (TBL): Martin St. Louis (15), assists: Vincent Lecavalier, Ryan Craig
3RD
02:15GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (5), assists: Adam Mair, Paul Gaustad
vs FLA (Jan 1, 2006)vs NJD (Jan 7, 2006) ›