vs TBL (Jan 5, 2006)vs PHX (Jan 12, 2006) ›

January 7, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NJD 32 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD1203
BUF1012
Shots on goal NJD 27, BUF 28W M. BrodeurL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .889
NJD M. Brodeur .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 1
NJD 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
B. Rafalski goal (P2 2:36), Sabres win chance drops from 57% to 35%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
M. Afinogenov
21:52
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
22:31
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.889 (24/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 02:36B. Rafalski (5) 57% to 35%-22
  2. P1 19:16J. Langenbrunner (7) 76% to 57%-19
  3. P1 17:22M. Afinogenov (10) 58% to 76%+18
  4. P2 06:01S. Gomez (16) 33% to 16%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
5
1.1
19:01
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-1
2
3
0.8
18:25
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.1
21:52
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
21:51
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.6
15:38
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
16:03
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
14:58
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:15
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
5
0
0.1
11:23
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
16:37
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:21
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:36
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
5
0.4
20:48
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
1:46
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
22:15
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
21:38
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
22:31
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
14:08
Total
2
3
5
12
28
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller273.8890.258:54L

Team Stats

NJDBUF
27Shots on Goal28
1Power Play Chances1
0%PP%100%
0%PK%100%
0PPG1
12Penalty Minutes12
9Hits14
11Blocked Shots5
8Giveaways8
2Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
17:22GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (10), assists: Derek Roy, Nathan Paetsch
19:16GOAL (NJD): Jamie Langenbrunner (7), assists: John Madden, Paul Martin
2ND
02:36GOAL (NJD): Brian Rafalski (5), assists: John Madden, Jay Pandolfo
06:01GOAL (NJD): Scott Gomez (16), assists: Patrik Elias, Brian Rafalski
3RD
18:22GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (12), assists: Henrik Tallinder
vs TBL (Jan 5, 2006)vs PHX (Jan 12, 2006) ›