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January 21, 2006

Pengrowth Saddledome | Calgary

BUF 14 CGY

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CGY all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
CGY1214
Shots on goal BUF 30, CGY 37W M. KiprusoffL M. Biron
Summary

CGY had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .917
CGY M. Kiprusoff .967
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
CGY 2 of 6
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (P1 14:08), Sabres win chance rises from 29% to 49%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Afinogenov
19:40
TOI (F)
J. McKee
21:23
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.917 (33/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCGY

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 15 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFCGY

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCGY
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 14:08M. Afinogenov (12) 29% to 49%+20
  2. P2 00:56R. Regehr (4) 44% to 25%-19
  3. P1 08:33D. McCarty (4) 49% to 30%-19
  4. P2 12:01K. Huselius (12) 25% to 10%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
5
3
1.1
19:11
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
4
1.0
19:40
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
21:23
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.5
14:43
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
17:17
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
9:14
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
17:06
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:40
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
15:44
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:48
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
14:48
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
15:48
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:49
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
2
0.0
19:39
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
16:28
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:13
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
19:48
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
17:43
Total
1
2
3
17
30
4.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron363.9171.159:27L

Team Stats

BUFCGY
30Shots on Goal37
5Power Play Chances6
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG2
17Penalty Minutes15
11Hits21
9Blocked Shots22
15Giveaways13
3Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
08:33GOAL (CGY): Darren McCarty (4), assists: Dion Phaneuf, Marcus Nilson
14:08GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (12), assists: Derek Roy, Jay McKee
2ND
00:56GOAL (CGY): Robyn Regehr (4), assists: Daymond Langkow, Tony Amonte
12:01GOAL (CGY): Kristian Huselius (12), assists: Dion Phaneuf, Chuck Kobasew
3RD
18:58GOAL (CGY): Shean Donovan (5), assists: Tony Amonte, Rhett Warrener
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