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January 24, 2006

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 21 NYR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
NYR0101
Shots on goal BUF 26, NYR 24W R. MillerL H. Lundqvist
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .958
NYR H. Lundqvist .923
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
NYR 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
A. Kotalik goal (P3 1:53), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 77%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
18:34
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
21:53
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.958 (23/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 28 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 01:53A. Kotalik (19) 47% to 77%+30
  2. P2 06:55J. Jagr (30) 66% to 46%-20
  3. P1 12:57T. Vanek (13) 46% to 65%+19
  4. P1 13:43Fighting on Paul Gaustad, 5 min 65% to 56%-9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
15:15
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
14:32
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
13:00
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
18:41
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
4
1
0.1
17:43
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
8:16
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:56
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
10:51
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
16:04
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
2
0.0
13:53
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
14:18
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
18:34
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.9
17:54
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:04
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
21:53
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
18:43
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
18:04
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:52
Total
2
3
5
19
26
6.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller241.9581.659:57W

Team Stats

BUFNYR
26Shots on Goal24
6Power Play Chances5
17%PP%20%
80%PK%83%
1PPG1
19Penalty Minutes21
21Hits20
14Blocked Shots18
7Giveaways16
9Takeaways15

Full Game Log

1ST
12:57GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (13), assists: Ales Kotalik, Teppo Numminen
2ND
06:55GOAL (NYR): Jaromir Jagr (30), assists: Fedor Tyutin, Martin Rucinsky
3RD
01:53GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (19), assists: Jason Pominville
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