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January 31, 2006

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 52 ATL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1225
ATL2002
Shots on goal BUF 35, ATL 37W R. MillerL K. Lehtonen
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .946
ATL K. Lehtonen .857
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
ATL 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville goal (P2 9:08), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 71%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Drury
19:04
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:27
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.946 (35/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 09:08J. Pominville (11) 48% to 71%+23
  2. P2 04:01T. Vanek (16) 29% to 50%+21
  3. P1 19:40R. Petrovicky (7) 50% to 30%-20
  4. P1 11:52M. Hossa (27) 69% to 51%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
7
2.0
16:14
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
15:29
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.2
11:50
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
19:04
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
3
1.0
15:26
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.3
11:39
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
16:19
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+4
4
1
0.3
21:16
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
21:14
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
15:14
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:43
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
15:51
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+2
0
3
0.2
18:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
2
0.0
14:42
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
4:33
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.1
21:27
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
17:08
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.1
20:21
Total
5
6
11
19
35
10.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller372.9462.059:05W

Team Stats

BUFATL
35Shots on Goal37
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
19Penalty Minutes13
14Hits17
14Blocked Shots14
12Giveaways25
2Takeaways15

Full Game Log

1ST
05:01GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (20), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Henrik Tallinder
11:52GOAL (ATL): Marian Hossa (27), assists: Andy Sutton, Patrik Stefan
19:40GOAL (ATL): Ronald Petrovicky (7), assists: Peter Bondra, Serge Aubin
2ND
04:01GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (16), assists: Chris Drury
09:08GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (11), unassisted
3RD
11:01GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (7), assists: Ales Kotalik
17:20GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (7), assists: Teppo Numminen, Derek Roy
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