@ NYR (Jan 24, 2006)@ ATL (Jan 31, 2006) ›

January 26, 2006

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 84 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2338
TOR1304
Shots on goal BUF 32, TOR 37W R. MillerL M. Tellqvist
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 8-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .892
TOR E. Belfour .750
TOR M. Tellqvist .800
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 8
TOR 2 of 8
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P1 18:12), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 71%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
2 (2G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
C. Drury
21:53
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:38
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.892 (33/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 10 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:12D. Roy (5) 51% to 71%+20
  2. P1 12:38J. Hecht (13) 31% to 51%+20
  3. P1 04:08A. Steen (12) 49% to 33%-16
  4. P2 13:17A. Ponikarovsky (12) 91% to 75%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
2.0
21:53
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
2
0
2
0
0
5
2.2
11:52
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
2.0
17:01
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
2
1.6
19:23
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+1
4
3
1.2
13:57
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.4
15:48
#74 J. McKee (D)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.8
21:53
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
14:57
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-1
2
3
0.8
18:37
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.8
15:19
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
4
1
0.3
7:12
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
11:44
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
10:09
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
16:20
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:01
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
23:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
20:19
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
22:27
Total
8
10
18
18
32
15.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller374.8920.359:44W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
32Shots on Goal37
8Power Play Chances8
38%PP%25%
75%PK%63%
3PPG2
18Penalty Minutes18
18Hits27
15Blocked Shots8
12Giveaways11
7Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
04:08GOAL (TOR): Alexander Steen (12), assists: Kyle Wellwood, Mats Sundin
12:38GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (13), assists: Paul Gaustad, Maxim Afinogenov
18:12GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (5), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Jay McKee
2ND
03:11GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (8), assists: Chris Drury, Jason Pominville
03:21GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (14), unassisted
08:04GOAL (TOR): Alexander Steen (13), assists: Kyle Wellwood, Tomas Kaberle
13:17GOAL (TOR): Alexei Ponikarovsky (12), assists: Nik Antropov, Ken Klee
13:56GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (10), unassisted
16:20GOAL (TOR): Alexander Khavanov (4), assists: Chad Kilger, Mats Sundin
3RD
06:18GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (17), assists: Ales Kotalik, Brian Campbell
12:47GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (15), assists: Jochen Hecht, Rory Fitzpatrick
19:59GOAL (BUF): Jay McKee (4), unassisted
@ NYR (Jan 24, 2006)@ ATL (Jan 31, 2006) ›