vs PHI (Feb 2, 2006)@ MTL (Feb 7, 2006) ›

February 4, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 12 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
OTT010001
BUF100012
Shots on goal OTT 29, BUF 27W R. MillerL D. Hasek
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 2-1 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .966
OTT D. Hasek .963
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
OTT 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
B. Smolinski goal (P2 4:49), Sabres win chance drops from 67% to 44%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
21:57
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
24:39
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.966 (28/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:47
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 04:49B. Smolinski (11) 67% to 44%-23
  2. P1 12:11A. Kotalik (21) 43% to 63%+20
  3. P1 05:59Fighting on Andrew Peters, 5 min 43% to 35%-8
  4. P1 05:59Fighting on Brian McGrattan, 5 min 35% to 43%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.3
19:56
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
21:57
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:30
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
0.0
19:43
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:50
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
10:31
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
15:36
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
16:38
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.1
10:52
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
19:23
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.2
18:27
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.2
2:44
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
22:21
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
13:44
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
22:47
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
24:39
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
21:44
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:44
Total
1
1
2
15
27
4.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller291.9662.164:54W

Team Stats

OTTBUF
29Shots on Goal27
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
21Penalty Minutes15
21Hits22
21Blocked Shots18
18Giveaways18
2Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
12:11GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (21), assists: Jochen Hecht
2ND
04:49GOAL (OTT): Bryan Smolinski (11), assists: Peter Schaefer, Mike Fisher
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek, assists: Dominik Hasek(SO)
vs PHI (Feb 2, 2006)@ MTL (Feb 7, 2006) ›