vs OTT (Feb 4, 2006)vs MTL (Feb 9, 2006) ›

February 7, 2006

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 32 MTL

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF02013
MTL01102
Shots on goal BUF 34, MTL 32W R. MillerL C. Huet
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .938
MTL C. Huet .912
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
MTL 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
A. Kovalev goal (P3 16:24), Sabres win chance drops from 94% to 52%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
21:25
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
22:31
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 0:30
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

OT 0:30
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:24A. Kovalev (12) 94% to 52%-42
  2. OT 00:30M. Afinogenov (14) 60% to 100%+40
  3. P2 19:54D. Roy (6) 53% to 80%+27
  4. P2 10:11C. Higgins (7) 79% to 57%-22

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.6
21:25
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
2
0
2
+1
0
5
1.9
19:47
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
2
2
0
0
1
1.2
20:01
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
17:36
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
1.1
16:01
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
1.1
18:22
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
18:44
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:39
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
11:10
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
16:59
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:09
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
6
0.6
18:29
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.4
18:45
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:57
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
22:31
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:14
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
21:14
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
15:33
Total
3
6
9
6
34
9.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller322.9381.560:11W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
34Shots on Goal32
7Power Play Chances3
29%PP%0%
100%PK%71%
2PPG0
6Penalty Minutes14
27Hits40
15Blocked Shots9
14Giveaways11
31Takeaways19

Full Game Log

2ND
05:43GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (13), assists: Derek Roy, J-P Dumont
10:11GOAL (MTL): Chris Higgins (7), assists: Tomas Plekanec, Mathieu Dandenault
19:54GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (6), assists: Brian Campbell, Teppo Numminen
3RD
16:24GOAL (MTL): Alex Kovalev (12), assists: Mike Ribeiro
OT
00:30GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (14), assists: Chris Drury, Teppo Numminen
vs OTT (Feb 4, 2006)vs MTL (Feb 9, 2006) ›