@ CAR (Feb 12, 2006)vs TOR (Mar 3, 2006) ›

March 1, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ATL 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
ATL1124
BUF0112
Shots on goal ATL 25, BUF 36W K. LehtonenL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .875
ATL K. Lehtonen .944
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 9
ATL 2 of 6
TURNING POINT
V. Kozlov goal (P1 17:11), Sabres win chance drops from 56% to 37%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
6
SHOTS
D. Roy
18:49
TOI (F)
R. Fitzpatrick
20:01
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.875 (21/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 17 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 17:11V. Kozlov (19) 56% to 37%-19
  2. P3 02:46B. Larsen (4) 25% to 8%-17
  3. P2 04:22C. Drury (18) 20% to 35%+15
  4. P2 01:48N. Havelid (4) 33% to 18%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
6
1.2
18:49
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.7
16:22
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
6
1.2
17:33
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
4
5
0.6
17:07
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
4
1.0
18:40
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
6
1.2
18:14
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
15:14
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
7:59
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
12:59
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
10:18
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:58
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:27
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.2
17:57
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:01
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:00
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
16:12
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
19:29
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.3
17:39
Total
2
4
6
14
36
7.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller243.875-0.159:22L

Team Stats

ATLBUF
25Shots on Goal36
6Power Play Chances9
33%PP%22%
78%PK%67%
2PPG2
18Penalty Minutes14
12Hits10
12Blocked Shots10
8Giveaways13
2Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
17:11GOAL (ATL): Vyacheslav Kozlov (19), assists: Jaroslav Modry, Marc Savard
2ND
01:48GOAL (ATL): Niclas Havelid (4), assists: Marc Savard, Ilya Kovalchuk
04:22GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (18), assists: J-P Dumont, Daniel Brière
3RD
02:46GOAL (ATL): Brad Larsen (4), assists: Serge Aubin
19:24GOAL (ATL): Brad Larsen (5), unassisted
19:38GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (15), assists: Derek Roy, Thomas Vanek
@ CAR (Feb 12, 2006)vs TOR (Mar 3, 2006) ›