@ BOS (Mar 4, 2006)vs TBL (Mar 9, 2006) ›

March 7, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

BOS 23 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS1102
BUF1203
Shots on goal BOS 27, BUF 35W R. MillerL T. Thomas
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .926
BOS T. Thomas .914
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
BOS 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (P2 16:09), Sabres win chance rises from 57% to 81%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Roy
18:08
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:01
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.926 (25/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 16:09J. Hecht (17) 57% to 81%+24
  2. P2 11:37T. Vanek (20) 35% to 57%+22
  3. P2 03:10M. Jurcina (6) 57% to 36%-21
  4. P1 08:59P. Bergeron (20) 59% to 40%-19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
+1
4
5
1.6
16:06
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
12:07
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.1
14:58
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.0
17:54
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0.8
14:38
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
12:03
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.2
16:13
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
17:20
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
18:08
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
8:14
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:32
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
12:14
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
16:47
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
23:01
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
-0.2
17:24
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
21:57
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
16:50
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.1
16:58
Total
3
6
9
14
35
9.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller272.9261.059:58W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
27Shots on Goal35
5Power Play Chances5
20%PP%40%
60%PK%80%
1PPG2
14Penalty Minutes14
10Hits16
13Blocked Shots17
6Giveaways10
1Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
08:59GOAL (BOS): Patrice Bergeron (20), assists: Brad Boyes, Brian Leetch
11:39GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (15), assists: J-P Dumont, Daniel Brière
2ND
03:10GOAL (BOS): Milan Jurcina (6), assists: David Tanabe, Wayne Primeau
11:37GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (20), assists: Ales Kotalik, Chris Drury
16:09GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (17), assists: Daniel Brière, Brian Campbell
@ BOS (Mar 4, 2006)vs TBL (Mar 9, 2006) ›