vs TOR (Mar 3, 2006)vs BOS (Mar 7, 2006) ›

March 4, 2006

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 32 BOS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1203
BOS2002
Shots on goal BUF 25, BOS 42W M. BironL A. Raycroft
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .952
BOS A. Raycroft .880
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
BOS 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (P2 15:02), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 77%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
D. Roy
17:32
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
20:44
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.952 (40/42)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 12 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 15:02J. Dumont (11) 52% to 77%+25
  2. P2 06:39D. Brière (16) 27% to 50%+23
  3. P1 03:41M. Sturm (23) 52% to 35%-17
  4. P1 16:12J. Hecht (16) 17% to 32%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
2
3
+3
0
5
2.4
16:54
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
2
3
+3
2
3
2.3
16:27
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
+2
2
3
0.8
16:43
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.7
20:44
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
18:50
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
17:32
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:19
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:27
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
10:24
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:12
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:31
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
11:24
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
12:16
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:23
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
19:12
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
18:21
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
19:09
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
18:14
Total
3
6
9
8
25
8.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron422.9522.559:34W

Team Stats

BUFBOS
25Shots on Goal42
4Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
8Penalty Minutes8
11Hits15
14Blocked Shots7
7Giveaways6
5Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
03:41GOAL (BOS): Marco Sturm (23), assists: Patrice Bergeron, Brian Leetch
07:05GOAL (BOS): Glen Murray (19), assists: Sergei Samsonov
16:12GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (16), assists: Daniel Brière, Toni Lydman
2ND
06:39GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (16), assists: Jochen Hecht, Henrik Tallinder
15:02GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (11), assists: Jochen Hecht, Daniel Brière
vs TOR (Mar 3, 2006)vs BOS (Mar 7, 2006) ›