vs TBL (Mar 9, 2006)vs BOS (Mar 12, 2006) ›

March 11, 2006

Wachovia Center | Philadelphia

BUF 65 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0426
PHI2305
Shots on goal BUF 39, PHI 21W M. BironL A. Niittymaki
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-5.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .750
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
PHI A. Niittymaki .846
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
PHI 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
M. Grier goal (P3 19:55), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 100%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
4 (1G-3A)
POINTS
J. Dumont
20:09
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
25:23
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.750 (15/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 29 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:55M. Grier (6) 50% to 100%+50
  2. P3 05:06C. Drury (20) 21% to 51%+30
  3. P2 19:29M. Richards (11) 51% to 23%-28
  4. P2 15:47S. Gagne (38) 77% to 51%-26

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
3
4
+2
0
4
3.3
18:36
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
2
3
0
2
4
2.5
20:09
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
2
3
0
0
4
2.3
20:03
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
-1
0
4
1.6
15:34
#27 T. Numminen (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
20:58
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
14:13
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
0.9
14:36
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
2
4
0.9
15:35
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.9
11:40
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
11:09
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
12:54
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
16:01
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.5
13:41
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.3
25:23
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
23:20
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:03
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
5:38
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
16:10
Total
6
12
18
6
39
16.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller205.750-2.240:00
#43 M. Biron101.0000.120:00W

Team Stats

BUFPHI
39Shots on Goal21
7Power Play Chances3
29%PP%0%
100%PK%71%
2PPG0
6Penalty Minutes14
11Hits11
12Blocked Shots13
7Giveaways15
3Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
03:50GOAL (PHI): Mike Knuble (27), assists: R.J. Umberger
10:32GOAL (PHI): Sami Kapanen (10), unassisted
2ND
00:15GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (14), assists: Jochen Hecht, Teppo Numminen
04:42GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (18), assists: J-P Dumont, Daniel Brière
07:51GOAL (PHI): Brian Savage (8), assists: Joni Pitkanen
09:06GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (17), assists: J-P Dumont, Chris Drury
12:13GOAL (BUF): Teppo Numminen (1), assists: Jochen Hecht, Daniel Brière
15:47GOAL (PHI): Simon Gagne (38), assists: Sami Kapanen
19:29GOAL (PHI): Mike Richards (11), assists: Branko Radivojevic, Donald Brashear
3RD
05:06GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (20), assists: Tim Connolly, Ales Kotalik
19:55GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (6), assists: Derek Roy, Jochen Hecht
vs TBL (Mar 9, 2006)vs BOS (Mar 12, 2006) ›