@ PHI (Mar 11, 2006)@ WSH (Mar 14, 2006) ›

March 12, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

BOS 26 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS0112
BUF2226
Shots on goal BOS 39, BUF 30W M. BironL A. Raycroft
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .949
BOS A. Raycroft .800
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 6
BOS 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P1 9:11), Sabres win chance rises from 61% to 77%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
18:48
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
22:12
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.949 (37/39)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 09:11D. Roy (14) 61% to 77%+16
  2. P1 14:20M. Afinogenov (16) 78% to 90%+12
  3. P2 08:27A. Kotalik (23) 92% to 98%+6
  4. P3 00:33B. Boyes (17) 99% to 95%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
2
3
+1
0
5
2.4
13:59
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
2
1
3
+1
0
3
2.5
15:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
2
3
+2
0
2
2.3
16:30
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
0
0
3
1.7
14:10
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
18:48
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
17:27
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
18:32
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
14:57
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
16:21
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
14:44
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:52
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
5
0
0.1
11:42
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
12:44
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
18:01
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.5
16:41
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
18:10
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
22:12
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
19:07
Total
6
9
15
11
30
13.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron392.9492.259:46W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
39Shots on Goal30
3Power Play Chances6
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG3
17Penalty Minutes11
13Hits9
11Blocked Shots22
12Giveaways17
6Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
09:11GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (14), assists: Thomas Vanek, Maxim Afinogenov
14:20GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (16), unassisted
2ND
08:27GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (23), assists: Tim Connolly, Henrik Tallinder
14:27GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (10), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Ales Kotalik
14:56GOAL (BOS): Andrew Alberts (1), assists: Glen Murray, Nick Boynton
3RD
00:33GOAL (BOS): Brad Boyes (17), assists: Marco Sturm, Patrice Bergeron
09:05GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (22), assists: Ales Kotalik, Teppo Numminen
18:25GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (23), assists: Dmitri Kalinin
@ PHI (Mar 11, 2006)@ WSH (Mar 14, 2006) ›