vs TOR (Mar 16, 2006)@ ATL (Mar 20, 2006) ›

March 18, 2006

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 24 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0112
OTT2114
Shots on goal BUF 22, OTT 49W R. EmeryL R. Miller
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .938
OTT R. Emery .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
OTT 1 of 10
TURNING POINT
P. Schaefer goal (P1 8:57), Sabres win chance drops from 38% to 22%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Brière
23:01
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
23:57
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.938 (45/48)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+30+150-15-30shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 38%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 08:57P. Schaefer (18) 38% to 22%-16
  2. P1 12:09Z. Chara (13) 19% to 9%-10
  3. P3 09:31D. Brière (20) 2% to 12%+10
  4. P2 07:53B. Smolinski (15) 8% to 2%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
-1
2
4
1.8
14:37
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
1.0
17:33
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.7
20:43
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
-1
4
5
1.1
23:01
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.8
14:55
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.2
13:56
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:05
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
12:05
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
15:15
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:31
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:21
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
10:26
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
1:56
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
0.0
20:47
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
21:30
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
23:57
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
16:59
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
16:28
Total
2
4
6
24
22
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller483.9382.359:19L

Team Stats

BUFOTT
22Shots on Goal49
7Power Play Chances10
14%PP%10%
90%PK%86%
1PPG1
24Penalty Minutes18
18Hits24
11Blocked Shots13
7Giveaways15
10Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
08:57GOAL (OTT): Peter Schaefer (18), assists: Bryan Smolinski, Brian Pothier
12:09GOAL (OTT): Zdeno Chara (13), assists: Dany Heatley, Jason Spezza
2ND
07:53GOAL (OTT): Bryan Smolinski (15), assists: Peter Schaefer, Chris Neil
08:39GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (18), assists: Derek Roy, Dmitri Kalinin
3RD
09:31GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (20), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Chris Drury
19:47GOAL (OTT): Chris Kelly (7), unassisted
vs TOR (Mar 16, 2006)@ ATL (Mar 20, 2006) ›