@ WSH (Mar 14, 2006)@ OTT (Mar 18, 2006) ›

March 16, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0011
BUF0123
Shots on goal TOR 28, BUF 33W R. MillerL M. Tellqvist
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .964
TOR M. Tellqvist .938
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
TOR 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
M. Grier goal (P3 8:14), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 87%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
M. Grier
5
SHOTS
D. Brière
20:03
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
22:19
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.964 (27/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 32 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 62%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:14M. Grier (7) 56% to 87%+31
  2. P3 04:33M. Sundin (17) 81% to 57%-24
  3. P2 08:32C. Drury (21) 62% to 80%+18
  4. P3 13:30High sticking on Chris Drury, 2 min 86% to 80%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
2
1
3
+2
4
3
2.2
17:16
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
12:36
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
5
1.2
15:15
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
20:03
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
16:39
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
15:03
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:09
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.1
14:17
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:21
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
13:30
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
14:17
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:56
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:08
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
19:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
18:27
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
22:19
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.1
19:37
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
19:04
Total
3
4
7
12
33
7.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller281.9642.059:52W

Team Stats

TORBUF
28Shots on Goal33
6Power Play Chances3
17%PP%33%
67%PK%83%
1PPG1
6Penalty Minutes12
22Hits13
7Blocked Shots18
13Giveaways8
2Takeaways2

Full Game Log

2ND
08:32GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (21), assists: Daniel Brière, Brian Campbell
3RD
04:33GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (17), assists: Jason Allison, Tomas Kaberle
08:14GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (7), assists: Chris Drury, Ales Kotalik
19:01GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (22), assists: Ryan Miller
@ WSH (Mar 14, 2006)@ OTT (Mar 18, 2006) ›