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March 20, 2006

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 05 ATL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0000
ATL2305
Shots on goal BUF 20, ATL 23W K. LehtonenL M. Biron
Summary

ATL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .783
ATL K. Lehtonen 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
ATL 2 of 10
TURNING POINT
I. Kovalchuk goal (P1 15:47), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 33%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
D. Brière
19:35
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
20:49
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.783 (18/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 15:47I. Kovalchuk (43) 53% to 33%-20
  2. P1 19:31P. Bondra (17) 32% to 16%-16
  3. P2 07:57V. Kozlov (20) 13% to 5%-8
  4. P1 16:31Hooking on Ilya Kovalchuk, 2 min 33% to 37%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
17:53
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
4
0.3
17:01
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
15:39
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
18:42
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:21
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
16:33
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
-0.2
10:12
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
10:22
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.5
12:15
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
19:35
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
4
3
0.2
12:40
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
14
0
-0.4
2:28
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
20:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.2
20:33
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
20:27
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:24
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:56
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.3
17:39
Total
0
0
0
30
20
1.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron235.783-1.960:00L

Team Stats

BUFATL
20Shots on Goal23
6Power Play Chances10
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG2
34Penalty Minutes16
16Hits19
12Blocked Shots18
6Giveaways11
2Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
15:47GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk (43), assists: Marc Savard, Ronald Petrovicky
19:31GOAL (ATL): Peter Bondra (17), assists: Andy Sutton
2ND
07:57GOAL (ATL): Vyacheslav Kozlov (20), assists: Peter Bondra, Andy Sutton
11:53GOAL (ATL): Steve McCarthy (3), assists: Vyacheslav Kozlov, Ilya Kovalchuk
13:47GOAL (ATL): Jaroslav Modry (7), assists: Bobby Holik, Jim Slater
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