vs PHI (Apr 22, 2006)@ PHI (Apr 26, 2006) ›

April 24, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 28 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-timeFull Round 1 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI0112
BUF5128
Shots on goal PHI 22, BUF 28W R. MillerL R. Esche
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 8-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .909
PHI A. Niittymaki .833
PHI R. Esche .500
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 12
PHI 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (P1 1:41), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 74%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
4 (3G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
5
SHOTS
T. Connolly
20:13
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
23:15
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.909 (20/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:41J. Dumont (1) 58% to 74%+16
  2. P1 03:00C. Drury (1) 76% to 86%+10
  3. P1 12:26A. Kotalik (1) 88% to 95%+7
  4. P1 14:36J. Pominville (1) 95% to 98%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
3
1
4
+1
0
3
3.3
18:16
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
3
1
4
+2
0
3
3.0
7:44
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
3
3
+2
0
2
2.1
11:11
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
0
1.4
20:13
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
-1
0
2
1.5
18:00
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.5
17:42
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
17:02
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
19:08
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.8
23:15
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.0
17:38
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
12:29
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.4
18:34
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:41
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
6
0
0.3
11:46
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
5
0.2
15:45
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.4
19:12
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
16:31
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.3
14:31
Total
8
14
22
12
28
18.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller222.9090.559:22W

Team Stats

PHIBUF
22Shots on Goal28
3Power Play Chances12
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG3
61Penalty Minutes12
12Hits7
8Blocked Shots14
13Giveaways14
3Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
01:41GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (1), unassisted
03:00GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Brian Campbell
12:26GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Toni Lydman
14:36GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Paul Gaustad, Jay McKee
19:46GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (2), assists: Daniel Brière, Jason Pominville
2ND
00:58GOAL (PHI): Simon Gagne (2), assists: Peter Forsberg, Derian Hatcher
09:42GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (3), assists: Daniel Brière, Chris Drury
3RD
05:47GOAL (PHI): Petr Nedved (1), assists: Eric Desjardins
08:35GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (2), assists: Teppo Numminen, Paul Gaustad
18:42GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (3), assists: Paul Gaustad, J-P Dumont
vs PHI (Apr 22, 2006)@ PHI (Apr 26, 2006) ›