vs PHI (Apr 24, 2006)@ PHI (Apr 28, 2006) ›

April 26, 2006

Wachovia Center | Philadelphia

BUF 24 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-timeFull Round 1 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
PHI1214
Shots on goal BUF 28, PHI 27W R. EscheL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .885
PHI R. Esche .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 7
PHI 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
P. Forsberg goal (P2 6:57), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 28%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Drury
20:24
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
22:06
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.885 (23/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 23 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 06:57P. Forsberg (1) 51% to 28%-23
  2. P1 06:35B. Savage (1) 69% to 51%-18
  3. P1 02:37A. Kotalik (2) 51% to 68%+17
  4. P2 12:37P. Forsberg (2) 25% to 10%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.5
19:54
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.5
16:19
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
14:06
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
1.0
19:40
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
17:04
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
0.0
17:31
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
20:24
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
12:52
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
10:39
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:22
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:50
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.4
18:57
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
15:52
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
21:33
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
21:18
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
4:13
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
22:06
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
17:43
Total
2
4
6
10
28
7.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller263.8850.159:34L

Team Stats

BUFPHI
28Shots on Goal27
7Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes14
10Hits21
15Blocked Shots18
9Giveaways11
5Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
02:37GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (2), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Tim Connolly
06:35GOAL (PHI): Brian Savage (1), assists: Michal Handzus, Derian Hatcher
2ND
06:57GOAL (PHI): Peter Forsberg (1), unassisted
12:37GOAL (PHI): Peter Forsberg (2), assists: Simon Gagne, Mike Knuble
3RD
04:44GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (2), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Maxim Afinogenov
19:44GOAL (PHI): Simon Gagne (3), assists: Peter Forsberg, Mike Knuble
vs PHI (Apr 24, 2006)@ PHI (Apr 28, 2006) ›