@ PHI (May 2, 2006)@ OTT (May 8, 2006) ›

May 5, 2006

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 76 OTT

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-timeFull Round 2 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF22217
OTT22206
Shots on goal BUF 23, OTT 33W R. MillerL R. Emery
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 7-6 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .818
OTT R. Emery .696
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
OTT 2 of 6
TURNING POINT
C. Drury goal (OT 0:18), Sabres win chance rises from 44% to 100%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
5 (2G-3A)
POINTS
D. Roy
3
SHOTS
T. Connolly
19:47
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
21:51
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.818 (27/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 0:18
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 38%.

OT 0:18
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 00:18C. Drury (4) 44% to 100%+56
  2. P3 19:49T. Connolly (5) 0% to 44%+44
  3. P3 18:47B. Smolinski (3) 41% to 2%-39
  4. P3 18:23D. Roy (3) 1% to 40%+39

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
2
3
5
+3
0
3
3.7
15:51
#19 T. Connolly (C)
2
1
3
+1
0
2
2.4
19:47
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
2
3
+2
0
2
2.2
12:58
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
0
1.3
20:06
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
+3
0
1
0.9
16:18
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
1.1
12:48
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
18:21
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
6
1
0.5
16:42
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.7
19:57
#27 T. Numminen (D)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
1.1
21:51
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:36
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
17:36
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
9:17
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
8:31
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
12:24
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
16:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
17:21
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.1
17:16
Total
7
12
19
16
23
15.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller336.818-1.859:43W

Team Stats

BUFOTT
23Shots on Goal33
5Power Play Chances6
20%PP%33%
67%PK%80%
1PPG2
16Penalty Minutes14
18Hits30
14Blocked Shots9
13Giveaways19
7Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
00:35GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (3), assists: Derek Roy, Henrik Tallinder
03:05GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza (3), assists: Dany Heatley, Wade Redden
03:20GOAL (OTT): Bryan Smolinski (2), assists: Anton Volchenkov, Daniel Alfredsson
06:56GOAL (BUF): Teppo Numminen (1), assists: Derek Roy, Maxim Afinogenov
2ND
01:47GOAL (OTT): Martin Havlat (7), assists: Christoph Schubert
03:29GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (4), assists: Paul Gaustad, Toni Lydman
04:15GOAL (OTT): Dany Heatley (3), assists: Zdeno Chara, Wade Redden
19:30GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (2), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Mike Grier
3RD
00:16GOAL (OTT): Mike Fisher (2), assists: Martin Havlat, Wade Redden
18:23GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (3), assists: Tim Connolly
18:47GOAL (OTT): Bryan Smolinski (3), assists: Daniel Alfredsson, Peter Schaefer
19:49GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (5), assists: Daniel Brière, Derek Roy
OT
00:18GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (4), assists: Mike Grier
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