@ CAR (May 22, 2006)vs CAR (May 26, 2006) ›

May 24, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CAR 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-timeFull Round 3 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR1113
BUF1304
Shots on goal CAR 27, BUF 33W R. MillerL C. Ward
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .889
CAR M. Gerber 1.000
CAR C. Ward .846
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
CAR 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. Stillman goal (P1 14:07), Sabres win chance drops from 55% to 35%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
2 (2G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
19:20
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:48
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.889 (24/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+21+110-11-21shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 14:07C. Stillman (5) 55% to 35%-20
  2. P2 01:02D. Brière (6) 56% to 75%+19
  3. P1 19:30C. Drury (8) 36% to 55%+19
  4. P2 08:28D. Brière (7) 76% to 91%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
3
1.7
15:10
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.5
19:10
#48 D. Brière (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
3
2.0
18:25
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
4
4
0.9
17:19
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.3
16:34
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
19:20
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
6
1.2
16:10
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.7
23:48
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.7
21:00
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:53
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
8:20
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
13:52
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.3
11:25
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:18
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
18:50
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
20:39
#34 J. Jillson (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
10:31
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
14:36
Total
4
8
12
12
33
11.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller273.8890.260:00W

Team Stats

CARBUF
27Shots on Goal33
5Power Play Chances7
20%PP%29%
71%PK%80%
1PPG2
16Penalty Minutes12
11Hits24
8Blocked Shots19
18Giveaways10
1Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
14:07GOAL (CAR): Cory Stillman (5), unassisted
19:30GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (8), assists: Ales Kotalik, Derek Roy
2ND
01:02GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (6), assists: Jochen Hecht, J-P Dumont
08:28GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (7), assists: J-P Dumont, Jay McKee
12:55GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (4), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Toni Lydman
18:18GOAL (CAR): Cory Stillman (6), assists: Aaron Ward, Justin Williams
3RD
15:52GOAL (CAR): Eric Staal (6), assists: Doug Weight, Frantisek Kaberle
@ CAR (May 22, 2006)vs CAR (May 26, 2006) ›