vs CAR (May 24, 2006)@ CAR (May 28, 2006) ›

May 26, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CAR 40 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-timeFull Round 3 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR2114
BUF0000
Shots on goal CAR 21, BUF 22W M. GerberL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 0-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .810
CAR M. Gerber 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
CAR 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
M. Recchi goal (P1 6:54), Sabres win chance drops from 55% to 37%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
J. Dumont
3
SHOTS
C. Drury
19:39
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
23:58
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.810 (17/21)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 7 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 06:54M. Recchi (4) 55% to 37%-18
  2. P1 09:53E. Staal (7) 34% to 20%-14
  3. P2 02:10A. Ladd (1) 16% to 7%-9
  4. P1 09:06Hooking on J-P Dumont, 2 min 36% to 33%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:41
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:22
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:21
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
16:50
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:39
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
10:26
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
17:33
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
13:14
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
11:42
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
18:10
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
16:37
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
18:35
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
21:26
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:45
#33 D. Janik (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.1
10:56
#34 J. Jillson (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.1
14:35
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.3
23:58
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
21:23
Total
0
0
0
4
22
2.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller214.810-1.360:00L

Team Stats

CARBUF
21Shots on Goal22
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
1PPG0
8Penalty Minutes4
26Hits32
18Blocked Shots16
11Giveaways18
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
06:54GOAL (CAR): Mark Recchi (4), assists: Frantisek Kaberle, Aaron Ward
09:53GOAL (CAR): Eric Staal (7), assists: Bret Hedican, Ray Whitney
2ND
02:10GOAL (CAR): Andrew Ladd (1), assists: Doug Weight, Glen Wesley
3RD
16:03GOAL (CAR): Bret Hedican (1), assists: Justin Williams, Cory Stillman
vs CAR (May 24, 2006)@ CAR (May 28, 2006) ›