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October 13, 2006

Joe Louis Arena | Detroit

BUF 32 DET

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF110013
DET200002
Shots on goal BUF 17, DET 43W R. MillerL D. Hasek
Summary

DET had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .953
DET D. Hasek .882
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
DET 0 of 8
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P2 17:48), Sabres win chance rises from 23% to 46%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
20:07
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
25:09
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.953 (41/43)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDET

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 1:33
+26+130-13-26shot attemptsBUFDET

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 17:48T. Vanek (1) 23% to 46%+23
  2. P1 01:29J. Williams (2) 44% to 27%-17
  3. P1 13:07J. Williams (3) 26% to 12%-14
  4. P1 15:10C. Drury (3) 13% to 26%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
1.1
18:38
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
19:56
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
1.0
14:00
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
17:46
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
20:07
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
-1
8
1
0.0
15:15
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
13:30
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
14:48
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
9:54
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:12
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
18:19
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
2:13
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.3
23:36
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
20:05
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
25:09
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
22:37
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:46
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
17:48
Total
2
4
6
21
17
5.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller432.9532.665:00W

Team Stats

BUFDET
17Shots on Goal43
5Power Play Chances8
40%PP%0%
100%PK%60%
2PPG0
21Penalty Minutes15
17Hits19
19Blocked Shots9
13Giveaways19
12Takeaways15

Full Game Log

1ST
01:29GOAL (DET): Jason Williams (2), assists: Nicklas Lidstrom, Danny Markov
13:07GOAL (DET): Jason Williams (3), assists: Johan Franzen, Brett Lebda
15:10GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (3), assists: Jochen Hecht, Daniel Brière
2ND
17:48GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Derek Roy, Maxim Afinogenov
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière, assists: Dominik Hasek(SO)
00:00GOAL (DET): Pavel Datsyuk, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Dominik Hasek(SO)
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