@ DET (Oct 13, 2006)vs PHI (Oct 17, 2006) ›

October 14, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 47 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR2114
BUF3407
Shots on goal NYR 23, BUF 32W R. MillerL K. Weekes
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .826
NYR K. Weekes .781
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
NYR 2 of 8
TURNING POINT
D. Brière goal (P1 18:57), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 74%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
4 (3G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
18:40
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
21:45
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.826 (19/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 13 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:57D. Brière (2) 53% to 74%+21
  2. P1 17:41C. Drury (4) 33% to 53%+20
  3. P1 11:38B. Shanahan (5) 50% to 31%-19
  4. P1 14:52A. Kotalik (1) 17% to 33%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
3
1
4
+2
0
4
3.3
17:15
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
2
3
+1
0
3
2.2
15:34
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
2
2
+2
2
5
1.5
15:40
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
+2
2
1
1.4
14:12
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.5
21:45
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.3
14:43
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.1
14:35
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
18:40
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.5
20:59
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
1.1
16:45
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:23
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
7:38
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
14:58
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
4
1
-0.2
12:01
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
5
0
0.0
5:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+2
4
1
-0.1
19:07
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
20:23
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
17:22
Total
7
11
18
23
32
14.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller234.826-1.160:00W

Team Stats

NYRBUF
23Shots on Goal32
8Power Play Chances5
25%PP%40%
60%PK%75%
2PPG2
17Penalty Minutes23
9Hits16
14Blocked Shots14
10Giveaways11
4Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
11:38GOAL (NYR): Brendan Shanahan (5), assists: Jaromir Jagr, Michael Nylander
12:56GOAL (NYR): Fedor Tyutin (1), assists: Matt Cullen, Petr Prucha
14:52GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (1), assists: Jiri Novotny, Chris Drury
17:41GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (4), assists: Brian Campbell, Daniel Brière
18:57GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (2), assists: Jason Pominville, Jiri Novotny
2ND
03:12GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (2), assists: Jaroslav Spacek
08:48GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), unassisted
12:52GOAL (NYR): Brendan Shanahan (6), unassisted
15:16GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (5), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Toni Lydman
16:20GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (6), assists: Daniel Brière, Jaroslav Spacek
3RD
18:34GOAL (NYR): Martin Straka (2), assists: Jaromir Jagr, Michael Nylander
@ DET (Oct 13, 2006)vs PHI (Oct 17, 2006) ›