October 20, 2006
HSBC Arena | Buffalo
CAR 4 – 5 BUF
FINAL
| 1ST | 2ND | 3RD | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| BUF | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-4.
- IN NET
- Buffalo R. Miller .800CAR C. Ward .828
- POWER PLAY
- Buffalo 1 of 5CAR 1 of 5
- TURNING POINT
- T. Vanek goal (P3 13:26), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 91%
- WIN DNA
- 2 of 4 winning traits
Stats by Period
All situations, by period.
Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.
Game Flow
Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.
Tied for only 44 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.
Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.
How this is measured
Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.
Win Probability
Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.
Opened at 58%.
- P3 13:26T. Vanek (4) 55% to 91%+36
- P2 12:33D. Kalinin (2) 29% to 55%+26
- P2 15:42E. Belanger (3) 80% to 55%-25
- P2 13:31M. Afinogenov (4) 56% to 80%+24
Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.
How this is measured
Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.
Win DNA
2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).
Box Score
| Player | G | A | P ▾ | +/- | PIM | SOG | Game Score | TOI | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | ||||||||||||||||
| #61 M. Afinogenov (RW) | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 5 | 2.4 | 16:46 | ||||||||
| #9 D. Roy (C) | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 20:50 | ||||||||
| #26 T. Vanek (LW) | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 3 | 1.8 | 16:36 | ||||||||
| #29 J. Pominville (RW) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1.7 | 18:01 | ||||||||
| #28 P. Gaustad (C) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 9:42 | ||||||||
| #48 D. Brière (C) | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 3 | 0.6 | 16:33 | ||||||||
| #55 J. Hecht (C) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.0 | 18:32 | ||||||||
| #6 J. Spacek (D) | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 17:55 | ||||||||
| #45 D. Kalinin (D) | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 0.7 | 18:46 | ||||||||
| #51 B. Campbell (D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 15:29 | ||||||||
| #12 A. Kotalik (RW) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 12:14 | ||||||||
| #13 J. Novotny (C) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | 15:13 | ||||||||
| #22 A. Mair (C) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | 4:56 | ||||||||
| #23 C. Drury (C) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0.4 | 19:41 | ||||||||
| #76 A. Peters (LW) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | 4:10 | ||||||||
| #5 T. Lydman (D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 21:27 | ||||||||
| #10 H. Tallinder (D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 23:16 | ||||||||
| #27 T. Numminen (D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 20:08 | ||||||||
| Total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 12.3 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | xGA | SV% | GSAx | GS | TOI ▾ | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #30 R. Miller | 20 | 4 | – | .800 | – | -1.4 | 60:00 | W |