vs CAR (Oct 20, 2006)@ MTL (Oct 23, 2006) ›

October 21, 2006

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 62 BOS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2226
BOS1102
Shots on goal BUF 30, BOS 26W M. BironL H. Toivonen
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .923
BOS T. Thomas .846
BOS H. Toivonen .765
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 7
BOS 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
A. Kotalik goal (P1 12:53), Sabres win chance rises from 54% to 73%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
21:53
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
22:07
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.923 (24/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 11 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 12:53A. Kotalik (2) 54% to 73%+19
  2. P1 08:02W. Brookbank (1) 72% to 54%-18
  3. P1 06:08C. Drury (8) 55% to 72%+17
  4. P2 01:17J. Pominville (4) 77% to 89%+12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
2
3
+2
0
4
2.3
16:44
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
3
3
+1
0
0
2.0
16:46
#23 C. Drury (C)
2
0
2
-1
0
3
1.7
14:44
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
1
1.4
16:02
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
16:36
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.1
13:27
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
15:19
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
18:08
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
+1
4
2
0.5
17:15
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:21
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:09
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
13:24
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
21:53
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
7:49
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
21:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.0
22:07
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
21:22
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:09
Total
6
9
15
6
30
12.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron262.9230.960:00W

Team Stats

BUFBOS
30Shots on Goal26
7Power Play Chances4
43%PP%0%
100%PK%57%
3PPG0
8Penalty Minutes14
7Hits9
10Blocked Shots9
3Giveaways7
4Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
06:08GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (8), assists: Brian Campbell, Jaroslav Spacek
08:02GOAL (BOS): Wade Brookbank (1), assists: Marc Savard, Brad Boyes
12:53GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (2), unassisted
2ND
01:17GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (4), assists: Thomas Vanek, Maxim Afinogenov
02:56GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (5), assists: Derek Roy, Thomas Vanek
03:14GOAL (BOS): Phil Kessel (1), assists: Patrice Bergeron
3RD
05:29GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (9), assists: Daniel Brière, Brian Campbell
09:11GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (5), assists: Brian Campbell
vs CAR (Oct 20, 2006)@ MTL (Oct 23, 2006) ›