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October 26, 2006

Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum | Uniondale

BUF 30 NYI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
NYI0000
Shots on goal BUF 27, NYI 29W R. MillerL R. DiPietro
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller 1.000
NYI R. DiPietro .889
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
NYI 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
A. Kotalik goal (P1 6:09), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 74%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Drury
21:58
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
22:24
TOI (D)
R. Miller
1.000 (29/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 06:09A. Kotalik (3) 58% to 74%+16
  2. P2 04:12M. Afinogenov (6) 75% to 90%+15
  3. P3 03:27J. Pominville (6) 95% to 99%+4
  4. P1 18:55Interference on Maxim Afinogenov, 2 min 74% to 71%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
+1
2
4
1.5
18:09
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.9
16:59
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
14:35
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
17:23
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
1.1
20:22
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
1
0.6
17:11
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.9
19:37
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
16:31
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
17:54
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
15:04
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:06
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
21:58
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
18:15
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:49
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
3:47
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
22:24
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
20:56
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
19:46
Total
3
6
9
6
27
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller2901.0002.959:32W

Team Stats

BUFNYI
27Shots on Goal29
7Power Play Chances3
14%PP%0%
100%PK%86%
1PPG0
6Penalty Minutes14
15Hits14
19Blocked Shots17
10Giveaways14
5Takeaways19

Full Game Log

1ST
06:09GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (3), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Maxim Afinogenov
2ND
04:12GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (6), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Toni Lydman
3RD
03:27GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (6), assists: Daniel Brière, Paul Gaustad
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