@ STL (Dec 23, 2006)vs CAR (Dec 28, 2006) ›

December 26, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

WSH 36 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH1113
BUF6006
Shots on goal WSH 26, BUF 39W R. MillerL B. Johnson
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .885
WSH B. Johnson .333
WSH O. Kolzig .939
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
WSH 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
B. Campbell goal (P1 1:51), Sabres win chance rises from 61% to 77%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
C. Drury
22:20
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
22:51
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.885 (23/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:51B. Campbell (5) 61% to 77%+16
  2. P1 03:33C. Drury (18) 77% to 88%+11
  3. P1 07:15C. Drury (19) 89% to 95%+6
  4. P1 07:30A. Kotalik (10) 95% to 98%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P2 14:36
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
2
2
4
+2
0
6
3.3
22:20
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
2
3
+2
2
6
2.5
14:05
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.5
17:31
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.8
18:37
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
5
1.3
17:13
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
0
0.9
17:11
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
1
1
0
5
2
0.7
5:58
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
17:33
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
22:51
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:41
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:05
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+3
2
3
0.1
12:57
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
13:33
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.2
17:16
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
15:30
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
21:55
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.4
21:38
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
16:49
Total
6
10
16
13
39
14.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller263.8850.159:17W

Team Stats

WSHBUF
26Shots on Goal39
4Power Play Chances7
0%PP%14%
86%PK%100%
0PPG1
19Penalty Minutes13
18Hits19
12Blocked Shots19
19Giveaways10
3Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
01:51GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (5), assists: Derek Roy
03:33GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (18), assists: Ryan Miller, Ales Kotalik
07:15GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (19), assists: Ales Kotalik, Andrew Peters
07:30GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (10), assists: Chris Drury, Henrik Tallinder
09:50GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (17), assists: Daniel Brière, Chris Drury
10:57GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (19), assists: Derek Roy, Maxim Afinogenov
18:30GOAL (WSH): Kris Beech (5), unassisted
2ND
14:36GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (25), assists: Lawrence Nycholat
3RD
03:19GOAL (WSH): Chris Clark (14), unassisted
@ STL (Dec 23, 2006)vs CAR (Dec 28, 2006) ›