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December 23, 2006

Scottrade Center | St. Louis

BUF 23 STL

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs STL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF02002
STL10113
Shots on goal BUF 23, STL 32W M. LegaceL M. Biron
Summary

STL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .906
STL M. Legace .913
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
STL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
B. Guerin goal (OT 1:35), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 0%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
20:53
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:41
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.906 (29/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 1:35
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFSTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 62%.

OT 1:35
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 01:35B. Guerin (15) 52% to 0%-52
  2. P3 09:28B. Guerin (14) 88% to 56%-32
  3. P2 16:38J. Pominville (16) 58% to 82%+24
  4. P2 01:20J. Hecht (9) 37% to 60%+23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
7
1.8
15:55
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.5
18:04
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.1
16:10
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
20:53
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:36
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
8:13
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
6:07
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
19:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
18:42
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:01
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
19:56
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:00
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
23:41
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:12
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
23:08
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
18:31
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.4
18:30
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
19:40
Total
2
3
5
4
23
6.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron323.9060.761:29O

Team Stats

BUFSTL
23Shots on Goal32
3Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes6
12Hits14
17Blocked Shots7
13Giveaways12
5Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
05:31GOAL (STL): Ryan Johnson (4), assists: Christian Backman, Dan Hinote
2ND
01:20GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (9), assists: Daniel Brière, Jason Pominville
16:38GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (16), assists: Daniel Brière
3RD
09:28GOAL (STL): Bill Guerin (14), assists: Jay McClement, Christian Backman
OT
01:35GOAL (STL): Bill Guerin (15), assists: Doug Weight
@ NSH (Dec 21, 2006)vs WSH (Dec 26, 2006) ›